Sunday, May 14, 2017

More oil and gas ruminations


 This is how oil and gas recovery is done in the Allegheny national forest and surrounding mountains. The pump jacks-some decades old and others brand new- number in the thousands, connected by dirt roads and ATV tracks by which the owners check them. The jacks are powered by electricity or gasoline, diesel, propane or natural gas, and are scattered throughout the forest. Power sheds shelter engines of one kind or another to burn the fuel to generate the electricity for the pumps and are located in isolated areas, and electric lines fan out to the pumps. The lines are often attached to trees with nylon rope and propped up with 'Y' shaped branches where they cross open areas. I have not noticed any leaking current in all my walks, so this crude system seems to work and at any rate is cheap and fast to erect.
     The oil is pumped to holding tanks such as in the picture, around which a dirt berm is built to contain potential leaks. Sometimes small ponds are near the tanks, although I am not sure what their purpose is. This is not fracking water and is clean enough to support salamanders.  When the tanks are full, oil is transferred to a refinery. The raw natural gas is often piped to large transfer stations where it can be purified and sent on to consumers. As the pictures to the right show these pipes are strung across rivers and diverted back underground all across the landscape. Thousands of miles of old and new pipe are buried or laying on the surface, and the smell of gas can be noticed near some jacks and tanks, but is not usually offensive. Neither have I heard of any explosions or major leaks in the field since I moved here ten years ago. As I mentioned in earlier posts the oil and logging roads and ATV trails offer the only hiking and biking access to much of the forest around here, and time quickly erodes and covers them over with vegetation when they are abandoned.
     I am not necessarily pro fossil fuel, but neither am I a hypocrite, for I burn oil and gas for my transportation and  Beth and I heat the house with natural gas.( Solar power simply is unfeasible in this cloudy part of the country) Observing all the controversy surrounding oil and gas exploration, I also see the healing power of time, and know that nature doesn't give a shit about human beings in the long run. If we kill ourselves one way or another, we will be just one more failed species. The mountains around Warren were totally stripped of trees and filled with oil derricks in the 19th century, and some of the rivers were filled with more spilled oil than water. Today those same rivers are well regarded trout streams and the mountains are forested over. I am more concerned about the invisible pollutants and pesticides that seem to do all kinds of  insidious damage, and the sheer scale of the human population. Yet with all the potential threats to the planet it is still best to take care of your own little space and live by example. Although I do not see the average American changing their lifestyle much, eventually reality has a way of prevailing either way.

Spring

   Flowers, fishing, and maple syrup...I love this season and it's promise of warmth and renewal and outside recreation. Rain and cool weather have the rivers running high and the canopy a little delayed, but there is no stopping the turning of the Earth!

Sunday, May 7, 2017

Why Climate Change Matters


     It is hard to know what the future will bring, but mass extinctions in the past have been related to high CO2 levels which raised ocean temperatures which lowered Oxygen levels, so all those people denying climate science hold their descendants well being in their decisions.

  Decades of data on world's oceans reveal a troubling oxygen decline

Date:
May 4, 2017
Source:
Georgia Institute of Technology
Summary:
The amount of dissolved oxygen contained in the water -- an important measure of ocean health -- has been declining for more than 20 years, reveals a new analysis of decades of data on oceans across the globe.



A new analysis of decades of data on oceans across the globe has revealed that the amount of dissolved oxygen contained in the water -- an important measure of ocean health -- has been declining for more than 20 years.
Researchers at Georgia Institute of Technology looked at a historic dataset of ocean information stretching back more than 50 years and searched for long term trends and patterns. They found that oxygen levels started dropping in the 1980s as ocean temperatures began to climb.
"The oxygen in oceans has dynamic properties, and its concentration can change with natural climate variability," said Taka Ito, an associate professor in Georgia Tech's School of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences who led the research. "The important aspect of our result is that the rate of global oxygen loss appears to be exceeding the level of nature's random variability."
The study, which was published April in Geophysical Research Letters, was sponsored by the National Science Foundation and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. The team included researchers from the National Center for Atmospheric Research, the University of Washington-Seattle, and Hokkaido University in Japan.
Falling oxygen levels in water have the potential to impact the habitat of marine organisms worldwide and in recent years led to more frequent "hypoxic events" that killed or displaced populations of fish, crabs and many other organisms.
Researchers have for years anticipated that rising water temperatures would affect the amount of oxygen in the oceans, since warmer water is capable of holding less dissolved gas than colder water. But the data showed that ocean oxygen was falling more rapidly than the corresponding rise in water temperature.
"The trend of oxygen falling is about two to three times faster than what we predicted from the decrease of solubility associated with the ocean warming," Ito said. "This is most likely due to the changes in ocean circulation and mixing associated with the heating of the near-surface waters and melting of polar ice."
The majority of the oxygen in the ocean is absorbed from the atmosphere at the surface or created by photosynthesizing phytoplankton. Ocean currents then mix that more highly oxygenated water with subsurface water. But rising ocean water temperatures near the surface have made it more buoyant and harder for the warmer surface waters to mix downward with the cooler subsurface waters. Melting polar ice has added more freshwater to the ocean surface -- another factor that hampers the natural mixing and leads to increased ocean stratification.
"After the mid-2000s, this trend became apparent, consistent and statistically significant -- beyond the envelope of year-to-year fluctuations," Ito said. "The trends are particularly strong in the tropics, eastern margins of each basin and the subpolar North Pacific."
In an earlier study, Ito and other researchers explored why oxygen depletion was more pronounced in tropical waters in the Pacific Ocean. They found that air pollution drifting from East Asia out over the world's largest ocean contributed to oxygen levels falling in tropical waters thousands of miles away.
Once ocean currents carried the iron and nitrogen pollution to the tropics, photosynthesizing phytoplankton went into overdrive consuming the excess nutrients. But rather than increasing oxygen, the net result of the chain reaction was the depletion oxygen in subsurface water.
That, too, is likely a contributing factor in waters across the globe, Ito said.

Friday, May 5, 2017

Ivanka's Book

    - I have not read it yet, but if this review is accurate then my previous hope that Ivanka Trump can temper her daddys presidency and help the plight of working women is mistaken...

     "Ivanka Trump, a daughter of and aide to the man whose election drove women to mount the largest protest in American history, has published a new book. It’s about how women can best achieve personal satisfaction and professional success. This is an ill-advised endeavor, in theory. In practice, it is an even worse idea than it seems.
In the preface to the book—titled “Women Who Work,” after an “initiative” she launched, in 2014—Ivanka emphasizes that she wrote it before Donald Trump became President. She has since announced that she will donate the profits and refrain from publicizing the book “through a promotional tour or media appearances,” in the hopes of avoiding the appearance of ethical conflicts. (Instead, she has been shilling for the book on Twitter, where she has nearly four million followers.) Nonetheless, it is immediately obvious that circumstances have gotten entirely away from her. When Ivanka published her first book, “The Trump Card,” she was twenty-eight, and her air of oblivious diligence was a reasonable fit for her position as a hardworking heiress, the favored child of a celebrity tycoon. Now that her father is the President and she has assumed a post in the White House, it feels downright perverse to watch her devote breathless attention to the self-actualization processes at work in the lives of wealthy women while studiously ignoring the political forces that shape even those lives.
“Women Who Work” is mostly composed of artless jargon (“All women benefit immeasurably by architecting their lives”) and inspirational quotes you might find by Googling “inspirational quotes.” Her exhortations feel even emptier than usual in light of Trump’s stated policy goals. “We must fight for ourselves, for our rights not just as workers but also as women,” Ivanka writes, and, elsewhere, “Honor yourself by exploring the kind of life you deserve.” The imagined audience for the book is so rarefied that Ivanka confidently calls paying bills and buying groceries “not enormously impactful” to one’s daily productivity. Her nannies are mentioned twice, if you count the acknowledgments; no other household help is alluded to at all. On the book’s second-to-last page, she finally, briefly mentions the need for paid leave and affordable childcare.
The notion that Ivanka’s reticence on political issues conceals an innate goodness and a sort of strategic genius that can only be deployed behind the scenes has been crumbling since November. As I wrote last year in a piece about her previous book, Ivanka possesses a type of beauty that often passes as moral uprightness; she speaks carefully, making some portion of her audience believe that she must act carefully, too. But “Women Who Work” should put an end to the idea that Ivanka is particularly self-aware. In the book’s third paragraph, she assesses her father’s Presidential run by saying, “I have grown tremendously as a person.” Later, she laments not “treating myself to a massage or making much time for self-care” during the campaign. She warns the reader of the dangers of one’s inner circle turning into an echo chamber.
What’s more striking is that the book fails even to get its own story straight: Which came first, Ivanka’s women’s-empowerment initiative or her desire to sell more shoes? The initiative evolved “very organically,” she writes. And yet throughout the book she reverts to the tone of a pitch deck: “I designed my company around a larger mission. Whether you’re trying on a pair of my heels or perusing my Web site for interviewing tips, my ‘why’ is to provide you—a woman who works—with solutions and inspiration.” A few pages later, she describes her entry into the fashion business as a “market opportunity . . . ready to be seized.” The book ultimately doesn’t try very hard to obscure the fact that the Women Who Work initiative was created, as the Times recently reported, as a way to make Ivanka products more marketable. She seems unwilling to acknowledge—if this is something that she has even grasped in the first place—that there could, hypothetically, be a difference between what’s good for women and what’s good for her brand.
In “The Trump Card,” which was published in 2009, Ivanka broadcasts her similarity to her father. “That’s what you get from this particular Daddy’s girl,” she writes at one point. In “Women Who Work,” she praises Trump but positions herself as separate from him. The section dividers in the book are pale pink and meant to be Instagrammed, with elaborately lettered quotes from other people labelled #ITWiseWords; she recommends graciousness, family time, and the cultivation of “brain-boosting hobbies” such as chess and calligraphy. Nonetheless, on occasion, she sounds quite a bit like the President. “When it comes to business, whatever it is I’m doing, I’m incredibly dedicated to creating solutions for modern women who are living full, multidimensional lives,” she writes. The book is full of random advertisements for Trump companies, like this one: “Scion Hotels offer energized social experiences and shared work spaces designed to bring people together to exchange ideas and create.” Sometimes Ivanka even deploys Trump’s comically obtuse diction: “I personally love the word ‘curious.’ I identify with it quite a bit because I am deeply curious.”

As was true of her previous book, there’s very little advice in “Women Who Work” that is specific to women. A reading list at the back contains fifty-three books and TED Talk recommendations—thirty-nine of which were authored by men. There’s no shortage of woman-targeted branding throughout the book—“You are a woman who works,” Ivanka writes, over and over again—but the first actual mention of a gendered situation occurs on page ninety-four, when she notes that women, more than men, can face negative repercussions when they try to negotiate a raise. Her counsel, though, is entirely general: do your research; prove your worth. On page one hundred and four, she finally lays out a woman-specific suggestion: we should be more like men and apply for jobs for which we’re not completely qualified. Given the circumstances, it’s almost funny. In a later section on work/life balance—a “myth,” according to Ivanka, who nonetheless advocates finding a “work/life rhythm that’s optimal for you”—there’s quite a bit of advice about working through and around pregnancy and motherhood, mostly in the form of quotes from Rosie Pope, an entrepreneur who briefly had her own Bravo show called “Pregnant in Heels.”
The other quoted experts—and there are hundreds—are all over the map. There’s Stephen Covey, the business consultant and teacher who wrote “7 Habits of Highly Effective People.” There’s Socrates. There’s Toni Morrison, who is quoted as saying, “Bit by bit, she had claimed herself. Freeing yourself was one thing, claiming ownership of that freed self was another.” (Ivanka does not note that those lines are from the novel “Beloved” and refer to freedom from actual slavery; in this context, they are used as the chapter divider before a section on time management, in which she asks women, “Are you a slave to your time or the master of it?”) There’s Charlotte Perkins Gilman, the feminist author and activist who once wrote, Ivanka has learned, “Life is a verb, not a noun.” There’s a woman with a food blog “dedicated to turning veggies and fruit into spiralized noodles” who appears to offer advice on resilience.
Amid this chorus, Ivanka avoids going into detail about her fashion business, which, as is clear from other reporting, is not the alluring retail juggernaut she sketches here. Sales are uneven: her clothing has been dropped by retailers and relabelled by the factory. Marissa Kraxberger, one of the Ivanka Trump employees who helped create Women Who Work, has said that she “fought long and hard” to get Ivanka to agree to give her eight weeks’ paid maternity leave; Kraxberger was part of an initial team of five senior executives, four of whom have since left the brand.
Like “The Trump Card,” “Women Who Work” is written for an audience whose greatest obstacles are internal, and Ivanka’s advice is, once again, Ivanka-specific. Where, as a twentysomething, she advised women to go into the office on Sundays, she now counsels women to ask for flextime and commit to sending e-mails at night. By the end of the book, she’s basically speaking to no one. Wealthy upper managers with families don’t need to be reminded of the importance of setting goals, and Ivanka’s directives are utterly irrelevant to anyone struggling to pay for childcare and housing at the same time. Women outside the corporate world and creative class do not figure into her vision of endless upward mobility at all. In one chapter, she writes, with a sense of courage that is jaw-droppingly misplaced, “If I can help celebrate the fact that I’m a superengaged mom and unabashedly ambitious entrepreneur, that yes, I’m on a construction site in the morning and at the dinner table with my kids in the evening, I’m going to do that.” And why wouldn’t she? Who wouldn’t celebrate that level of ability and accomplishment—except, maybe, the type of man who would say that putting your wife to work is a dangerous thing? The fundamental dishonesty of Ivanka Trump’s book is clearest in the fact that she never acknowledges the difficulty of knowing, or being governed by, anyone like that."

Sunday, February 12, 2017

Reality Check


....a government based on misinformation and lack of analytical thinking.... wonder where this will lead the good ole' USA this time...The scary thing is that 1/2 the country blindly follow and believe the crap without looking deeper.. as for overall crime including murders.. It is All down substantially in the last 25 years..Just read the World Almanac for 2017 to get the facts

No link between immigration and increased crime, four decades of evidence finds

Date:
February 10, 2017
Source:
University at Buffalo
Summary:
Political discussions about immigrants often include the claim that there is a relationship between immigration patterns and increased crime. However, results of a new study find no links between the two. In fact, immigration actually appears to be linked to reductions in some types of crimes, according to the findings.
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FULL STORY

“The results show that immigration does not increase assaults and, in fact, robberies, burglaries, larceny, and murder are lower in places where immigration levels are higher,” says Robert Adelman, associate professor of sociology, University at Buffalo.

    Political discussions about immigrants often include the claim that there is a relationship between immigration patterns and increased crime. However, results of a University at Buffalo-led study find no links between the two. In fact, immigration actually appears to be linked to reductions in some types of crimes, according to the findings.
"Our research shows strong and stable evidence that, on average, across U.S. metropolitan areas crime and immigration are not linked," said Robert Adelman, an associate professor of sociology at UB and the paper's lead author. "The results show that immigration does not increase assaults and, in fact, robberies, burglaries, larceny, and murder are lower in places where immigration levels are higher.
"The results are very clear."
Adelman's study with Lesley Williams Reid, University of Alabama; Gail Markle, Kennesaw State University; Charles Jaret, Georgia State University; and Saskia Weiss, an independent scholar, is published in the latest issue of the Journal of Ethnicity in Criminal Justice.
"Facts are critical in the current political environment," said Adelman. "The empirical evidence in this study and other related research shows little support for the notion that more immigrants lead to more crime."
Previous research, based on arrest and offense data, has shown that, overall, foreign-born individuals are less likely to commit crimes than native-born Americans, according to Adelman.
For the current study, the authors stepped back from the study of individual immigrants and instead explored whether larger scale immigration patterns in communities could be tied to increases in crime due to changes in cities, such as fewer economic opportunities or the claim that immigrants displace domestic workers from jobs.
The authors drew a sample of 200 metropolitan areas as defined by the U.S. Census Bureau and used census data and uniform crime reporting data from the Federal Bureau of Investigation for a 40-year period from 1970 to 2010.
"This is a study across time and across place and the evidence is clear," said Adelman. "We are not claiming that immigrants are never involved in crime. What we are explaining is that communities experiencing demographic change driven by immigration patterns do not experience significant increases in any of the kinds of crime we examined. And in many cases, crime was either stable or actually declined in communities that incorporated many immigrants."
Adelman says the relationship between immigration and crime is complex and more research needs to be done, but this research supports other scholarly conclusions that immigrants, on the whole, have a positive effect on American social and economic life.
"It's important to base our public policies on facts and evidence rather than ideologies and baseless claims that demonize particular segments of the U.S. population without any facts to back them up," said Adelman.


Saturday, February 11, 2017

More Winter Tracks

  Beth and I saw these bizarre tracks during a walk last week, made by coyotes dragging something along the road. They appeared almost like a single snowboard track with paw prints, and occasionally disappeared as if the animals had lifted whatever they were carrying for a time then dropped it again. At places the tracks looked more like the dragging tail of some animal the coyotes were carrying in their mouths. There was no sign of blood but because they do not give birth until spring the animal was likely a kill. After emerging from the woods the tracks followed the road for about 1/4 mile then reentered the woods and and continued up a hill.
   Tracks locally are mostly deer, coyote, fox and, surprisingly to me at least, feral cats. The latter are more abundant than I would have thought, for their tracks can be found miles from civilization.
   The sawmill is where local Amish have harvested some trees and cut the lumber in the woods, which is much easier than trying to drag the  heavy logs by horse power alone. They use small gas powered engines to run the saw-allowed by their faith for this purpose-then use the wood to make sheds and furniture and other items they sell to the general public. By contrast, modern logging involves huge tractors and buzz saws that can fell a tree in seconds, which are loaded onto trucks and shipped to commercial mills.


Tuesday, January 31, 2017

Just another walk



  January 30-  Went for a six mile walk on the mostly dirt roads near Lander, PA, where the land opens up from mountain to to field some ten miles northwest of Warren. This was a routine walk in the sense that I have walked a thousand others like it, and like many walks the first and last miles were the most demanding both mentally and physically. That is, this walk was neither mentally nor physically demanding compared to some, but the first mile always requires discipline and a few minutes to acclimate to temperature and movement after sitting in the car on the way to the starting point, and the last mile requires some effort because I am growing tired and see the finish line. At any rate, the temperature was about 25F and the sky was a typical western PA winter sky, with minutes of sun being disrupted by black clouds that erupted into heavy snow squalls that in summer would have been heavy downpours lasting 15 or 20 minutes. During the January thaw a few days ago the sky did not change, only the temperature, so there was two weeks of intermittent showers rather than snow, and that is typical of the weather here. Last summer I saw an otter cross this road where it passes over a small stream, so despite the open landscape it is close enough to wild, wooded areas to support some unique animals.
     The dog was able to run unleashed on these roads because of proper training and because traffic was very light-we passed only four cars in the entire walk. She did not and does not react much to snow, although it restricts her running if it is too deep, so she buried her head into the drifts and pounced after voles that she smelled, but never caught anything. As a routine walk the two hours was for exercise as much as inspiration, and the most memorable aspect was when, from a distance of about 1/2 mile from the car, I briefly mistook a guardrail for a human being. My elevated position made the forty foot long rail appear condensed into the vertical form of a person, so it required a few moments of watching to see if the form moved, and then as I walked closer I was able to see the illusion. Probably aliens have been mistaken by people seeing such mundane things.